Dollar General Corp (DG) (2024)

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Impressive Store Density and Scale Should Give Dollar General a Durable Edge in Rural Towns

Noah Rohr

Dollar General’s more than 20,000 small-box locations make the retailer an omnipresent force in rural communities that lack national retail chains. The firm provides low-income households (a typical customer earns around $35,000-$40,000 per year) with a convenient fill-in shopping destination and reasonable price points on merchandise, which we view as the crux of its value proposition. Since thinly populated and less affluent towns cannot economically support an abundance of retailers, Dollar General thrives by leaning into areas with minimal competition. Furthermore, its impressive scale and proximity to consumers, product mix that is 80% consumables, and small basket size (usually around $15) help insulate the retailer from e-commerce competition.

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Price vs Fair Value

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DG is trading at a 352% premium.

Price

$82.97

Fair Value

$952.00

Uncertainty

Medium

1-Star Price
$948.80

5-Star Price
$16.00

Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Dollar General is insulated from intense retail competition by its positioning in thinly populated rural towns, which are largely unattractive for most competing retail banners.

Bears

The dollar store footprint looks crowded today—Dollar General, Dollar Tree, and Family Dollar account for over 37,000 storefronts—which could weigh on opportunities to drive growth via store expansion.

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News

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  • Super Micro offers investors a bit of relief after stock's worst month on record
  • Can Nvidia's executives help investors remain confident in the stock?
  • DG INVESTOR ALERT: Bronstein, Gewirtz and Grossman, LLC Announces an Investigation into Dollar General Corporation and Encourages Investors to Contact the Firm!
  • DG Investors Have Opportunity to Join Dollar General Corporation Fraud Investigation with the Schall Law Firm
  • Dollar General's stock set for record drop as core customers 'feel worse off'
  • Dollar General Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results
  • Dollar General Corporation Scheduled to Participate in the Goldman Sachs 31st Annual Global Retailing Conference
  • Dollar General Literacy Foundation Awards More Than $4 Million in Youth Literacy Grants

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$84.03
Day Range

$82.6887.38

52-Week Range

$82.68168.07

Bid/Ask
$82.95/$83.07

Market Cap
$18.25 Bil

Volume/Avg
21.1 Mil/3.4 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
12.88

Price/Sales
0.46

Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.84%

Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.84%

Total Yield
2.84%

Company Profile

With more than 20,000 locations, Dollar General’s banner is nearly ubiquitous across the rural United States. Dollar General serves as a convenient shopping destination for fill-in store trips, with its value proposition most relevant to consumers in small communities with a dearth of shopping options. The retailer operates a frugal store of about 7,500 square feet and primarily offers an assortment of branded and private-label consumable items (80% of net sales) such as paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items at low prices. Dollar General also offers a limited assortment of seasonal merchandise, home products, and apparel. The firm sells most items at a price point of $10 or less.

Sector
Consumer Defensive

Industry
Discount Stores

Stock Style Box
Mid Value

Total Number of Employees
170,000

Competitors

  • Walmart Inc WMT
  • Dollar Tree Inc DLTR
  • Target Corp TGT

Valuation

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Metric

DG

WMT

DLTR

Price/Earnings (Normalized)

12.8832.4614.42

Price/Book Value

2.517.362.52

Price/Sales

0.460.940.60

Price/Cash Flow

7.3917.828.05

Price/Earnings

DG

WMT

DLTR

Financial Strength

Metric

DG

WMT

DLTR

Quick Ratio

0.180.180.13

Current Ratio

1.220.801.28

Interest Coverage

7.038.64−8.37

Quick Ratio

DG

WMT

DLTR

Profitability

Metric

DG

WMT

DLTR

Return on Assets (Normalized)

4.71%6.41%5.58%

Return on Equity (Normalized)

21.58%19.99%15.40%

Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)

6.80%11.82%7.29%

Return on Assets

DG

WMT

DLTR

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Name

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Capital Allocation

Economic Moat

Market Cap

Walmart Inc

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Target Corp

TGT

LgdbhrdyyYyxpn$70.8 Bil
Wal - Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR

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Qyqhvtv$55.1 Bil
Wal - Mart de Mexico SAB de CV

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Kjvzyh$55.1 Bil
Dollarama Inc

DLMAF

Xdjy$28.7 Bil
Dollar Tree Inc

DLTR

QfyymwtpnBgzq$18.2 Bil
Pan Pacific International Holdings Corp ADR

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Qgv$15.3 Bil
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc

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PzkfkfphkYmt$10.6 Bil

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Dollar General Corp (DG) (2024)
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